Institut für Regelungstechnik Forschung
ERC-StG Project Cont4Med

Cont4Med - Estimation and control under limited information with application to biomedical systems

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This project has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant agreement No 948679).

Project Overview

Summary

The goal of this project is to develop estimation and control strategies for dynamical systems where only a very limited amount of information is available. This information includes current measurements of the system as well as a mathematical model. The main motivation for considering these problems are biomedical applications, where such a small amount of available information is often inherent. Examples include hormone concentration measurements when considering thyroidal diseases (which are typically only taken every several days/weeks) or monitoring the size of a tumour. Estimating the current state of the system and devising appropriate control actions (e.g., therapy or medication in the biomedical examples) is very challenging in such applications. Achieving these objectives requires the development of novel methods and tools. Within this project, particular focus lies on the following aspects.

First, we study under which conditions is it possible to reconstruct the full internal system information using only few output measurements. Sampling strategies and suitable nonlinear state estimators are derived.

Second, state estimation and control strategies are developed for situations with only partial or no knowledge of a mathematical model of the system in question. This necessitates the design of so called data- and learning-based methods, for which desired guarantees can be given, even in case of few measurements.

Third, the developed tools are extended to large-scale systems, where estimation and control has to be achieved in a distributed fashion.

The results that have been obtained within this project

  1. enable estimation and control in systems with very few, sampled measurements,
  2. constitute a big step towards a holistic data-based systems and control theory,
  3. result in a new, data-driven, paradigm for the control of large-scale systems, and
  4. enable the design of optimal control strategies in biomedical applications.
Contact us by e-mail

Further Information

More information on the project can be found on CORDIS

Publications

  • Markovsky, I.; Alsalti, M. & Müller, M. A. (2026): Numerical methods for linear time-invariant systems analysis and design in the behavioral settingsubmitted
    DOI: 10.15488/20620
  • Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2026): On Data-based Nash Equilibria in LQ Nonzero-sum Differential Gamessubmitted
    arXiv: 2601.11320
  • Alsalti, M. & Müller, M. A. (2026): Data-driven patient-specific fluid resuscitationsubmitted
    DOI: 10.15488/20472
  • Alsalti, M.; Markovsky, I.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Data-based system representations from irregularly measured dataIEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, vol. 70, no. 1, pp. 143-158
    DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2024.3423053
    arXiv: 2307.11589
  • Siriya, S.; Schiller, J. D.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Sufficient Conditions for Detectability of Approximately Discretized Nonlinear Systems2025 European Control Conference (ECC)
    DOI: 10.23919/ECC65951.2025.11186853
    arXiv: 2505.17857
  • Krauss, I.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): On Sample-Based Functional Observability of Linear SystemsIEEE Control Systems Letters, vol. 9, pp. 1393-1398
    DOI: 10.1109/LCSYS.2025.3582512
    arXiv: 2506.23744v1
  • Krauss, I.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Sample-based Moving Horizon Estimationsubmitted
    arXiv: 2510.24191
  • Krauss, I.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Robust stability of event-triggered nonlinear moving horizon estimationsubmitted
    arXiv: 2510.04814
  • Siriya, S.; Wolff, T. M.; Krauss, I.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Estimating Hormone Concentrations in the Pituitary-Thyroid Feedback Loop from Irregularly Sampled Measurementssubmitted
    arXiv: 2512.10657
  • Wolff, T. M.; Krauss, I.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Data-based Moving Horizon Estimation under Irregularly Measured Datasubmitted
    arXiv: 2512.20259
  • Wolff, T. M.; Lopez, V. G.; Müller, M. A. & Beckers, T. (2025): Inference in Latent Force Models Using Optimal State Estimationsubmitted
    arXiv: 2512.20250
  • Alsalti, M.; De Persis, C.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Data-driven stabilization of nonlinear systems via descriptor embeddingsubmitted
    arXiv: 2511.01457
  • Wolff, T. M.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Gaussian Process-Based Nonlinear Moving Horizon EstimationIEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, Vol. 70, Iss. 12, pp. 7875 - 7890
    DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2025.3580033
    arXiv: 2402.04665
  • Wolff, T. M.; Menzel, M.; Dietrich, J. W. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Modeling and Predictive Control for the Treatment of Hyperthyroidism11th Vienna International Conference on Mathematical Modelling (MATHMOD 2025), IFAC-PapersOnLine, No. 1, vol. 59, pp. 235-240
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2025.03.041
    arXiv: 2212.10096
  • Wolff, T. M.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Gaussian Processes with Noisy Regression Inputs for Dynamical Systems2025 American Control Conference (ACC), pp. 160-165
    DOI: 10.23919/ACC63710.2025.11107496
    arXiv: 2408.08834
  • Alsalti, M.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Notes on data-driven output-feedback control of linear MIMO systemsIEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, vol. 70, iss. 9, pp. 6143-6150
    DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2025.3553073
    arXiv: 2311.17484
  • Krauss, I.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2025): Sample-based nonlinear detectability for discrete-time systemsIEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, vol. 70, no. 4, pp. 2422 - 2434
    DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2024.3485486
    arXiv: 2312.13658
  • Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2024): Data-Based Control of Continuous-Time Linear Systems with Performance Specificationssubmitted
    arXiv: 2403.00424
  • Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2024): Data-Based System Representation and Synchronization for Multiagent Systems2024 IEEE 63rd Conference on Decision and Control (CDC), pp. 6736-6742
    DOI: 10.1109/CDC56724.2024.10886612
    arXiv: 2404.13937
  • Krauss, I.; Schiller, J. D; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2024): Event-triggered moving horizon estimation for nonlinear systemsProceedings of the 2024 IEEE 63rd Conference on Decision and Control (CDC), pp. 3801-3806
    DOI: 10.1109/CDC56724.2024.10886849
    arXiv: 2408.06208
  • Lopez, V. G.; Müller, M. A. & Rapisarda, P. (2024): An Input-Output Continuous-Time Version of Willems’ LemmaIEEE Control Systems Letters, vol. 8, pp. 916-921
    DOI: 10.1109/LCSYS.2024.3406057
    arXiv: 2405.15482
  • Markovsky, I.; Alsalti, M. ; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2024): Identification from data with periodically missing output samplesAutomatica, 2024, Vol. 169, p. 111869
    DOI: 10.1016/j.automatica.2024.111869
    arXiv: 10.15488/15821
  • Wolff, T.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2024): Robust Data-Driven Moving Horizon Estimation for Linear Discrete-Time SystemsIEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, vol. 69, iss. 8, pp. 5598-5604
    DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2024.3371373
    arXiv: 2210.09017
  • Alsalti, M.; Barkey, M.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2024): Sample- and computationally efficient data-driven predictive control2024 European Control Conference (ECC), Stockholm, Sweden. pp. 84-89
    DOI: 10.23919/ECC64448.2024.10591022
    arXiv: 2309.11238
  • Alsalti, M.; Barkey, M.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2024): Robust and efficient data-driven predictive controlsubmitted
    arXiv: 2409.18867
  • Alsalti, M.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2024): An efficient data-based off-policy Q-learning algorithm for optimal output feedback control of linear systemsProceedings of the 6th Annual Learning for Dynamics & Control Conference, vol. 242, pp. 312-323 Weitere Informationen
    arXiv: 2312.03451
  • Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2023): An efficient off-policy reinforcement learning algorithm for the continuous-time LQR problemAccepted for IEEE 62nd Conference on Decision and Control (CDC)
    DOI: 10.1109/CDC49753.2023.10384256
    arXiv: 2303.17819
  • Wolff, T. M. & Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2023): Robust Stability of Gaussian Process Based Moving Horizon Estimation2023 IEEE 62nd Conference on Decision and Control (CDC), pp. 4087-4093
    DOI: 10.1109/CDC49753.2023.10383304
    arXiv: 2304.06530
  • Menzel, M.; Wolff, T. M.; Dietrich, J. W. & Müller, M. A. (2023): Model predictive control for the prescription of antithyroid agentsProceedings on Automation in Medical Engineering Weitere Informationen
    arXiv: 2307.16690
  • Alsalti, M.; Lopez, V. G; Berberich, J.; Allgöwer, F. & Müller, M. A. (2023): Data-Based Control of Feedback Linearizable SystemsIEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, vol. 68, no. 11, pp. 7014-7021
    DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2023.3249289
    arXiv: 2204.01148
  • Alsalti, M.; Lopez, V. G.; Berberich, J.; Allgöwer, F. & Müller, M. A. (2023): Data-driven nonlinear predictive control for feedback linearizable systems22nd IFAC World Congress: Yokohama, Japan, July 9-14, 2023. IFAC-PapersOnLine, Vol. 56, Issue 2, pp. 617-624
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2023.10.1636
    arXiv: 2211.06339
  • Lopez, V. G.; Alsalti, M. & Müller, M. A. (2023): Efficient Off-Policy Q-Learning for Data-Based Discrete-Time LQR ProblemsIEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, vol. 68, no. 5, pp. 2922-2933
    DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2023.3235967
    arXiv: 2105.07761
  • Alsalti, M.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2023): On the design of persistently exciting inputs for data-driven control of linear and nonlinear systemsIEEE Control Systems Letters, vol. 7, pp. 2629 - 2634
    DOI: 10.1109/LCSYS.2023.3287133
    arXiv: 2303.08707
  • Wolff, T. M.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2022): Data-Based Moving Horizon Estimation for Linear Discrete-Time Systems2022 European Control Conference (ECC), pp. 1778-1783
    DOI: 10.23919/ecc55457.2022.9838331
    arXiv: 2111.04979
  • Berberich, J.; Köhler, J.; Müller, M. A. & Allgöwer, F. (2022): Linear tracking MPC for nonlinear systems part I: the model-based caseIEEE Trans. Automat. Control, Vol. 67, Issue 9, pp. 4390-4405
    DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2022.3166872
    arXiv: 2105.08560
  • Berberich, J.; Köhler, J.; Müller, M. A. & Allgöwer, F. (2022): Linear tracking MPC for nonlinear systems part II: the data-driven caseIEEE Trans. Automat. Control, Vol. 67, Issue 9, pp. 4406-4421
    DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2022.3166851
    arXiv: 2105.08567
  • Wolff, T.; Dietrich, J. W. & Müller, M. A. (2022): Optimal hormone replacement therapy in hypothyroidism - a model predictive control approachFrontiers in Endocrinology, vol. 13, no. 884018
    DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2022.884018
  • Köhler, M.; Berberich, J.; Müller, M. A. & Allgöwer, F. (2022): Data-driven distributed MPC of dynamically coupled linear systemsIFAC-PapersOnLine, Vol. 55, Issue 30, pp. 365-370, 25th International Symposium on Mathematical Theory of Networks and Systems (MTNS 2022)
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2022.11.080
  • Krauss, I.; Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2022): Sample-based observability of linear discrete-time systems2022 IEEE 61st Conference on Decision and Control (CDC), Cancun, Mexico, pp. 4199-4205
    DOI: 10.1109/CDC51059.2022.9993267
  • Wolff, T. M.; Veil, C.; Dietrich, J. W. & Müller, M. A. (2022): Mathematical Modeling and Simulation of Thyroid Homeostasis: Implications for the Allan-Herndon-Dudley SyndromeFrontiers in Endocrinology, Vol. 13, No. 882788
    DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2022.882788
  • Alsalti, M.; Berberich, J.;Lopez, V. G.; Allgöwer, F. & Müller, M. A. (2022): Practical exponential stability of a robust data-driven nonlinear predictive control schemeSupplementary material - technical report
    arXiv: 2204.01150
  • Lopez, V. G. & Müller, M. A. (2022): On a continuous-time version of Willems' lemmaIEEE 61st Conference on Decision and Control (CDC), pp. 2759-2764
    DOI: 10.1109/CDC51059.2022.9992347
  • Alsalti, M.; Berberich, J.; Lopez, V. G.; Allgöwer, F. & Müller, M. A. (2021): Data-Based System Analysis and Control of Flat Nonlinear Systems60th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control (CDC), pp. 1484-1489
    DOI: 10.1109/CDC45484.2021.9683327
    arXiv: 2103.02892
  • Berberich, J.; Köhler, J.; Müller, M. A. & Allgöwer, F. (2021): Data-driven model predictive control: closed-loop guarantees and experimental resultsat–Automatisierungstechnik, vol. 69, no. 7, pp. 608-618
    DOI: 10.1515/auto-2021-0024